The Pittsburgh Pirates of 2011 will not resemble the Pirates of 2010. As expected when a team loses 105 games, changes are being made to the roster. We could feel it happening, even if it was painstakingly slow over the course of the season and now well into the offseason. We took a look at each of the 2010 offensive players who performed at a negative value according to Baseball Prospectus’ VORP ratings.
VORP means Value Over Replacement Player. The number of runs contributed beyond what a replacement-level player at the same position would contribute if given the same percentage of team plate appearances. VORP scores do not consider the quality of a player’s defense.
Basically these players performed poorly on offense in 2010. Check out how many are already gone, and how many we feel are on their way off the ballclub (NFL=not for long.) If you shake out the pitchers and the players who have little projection possibilities for the roster, it basically shakes down to Chris Snyder being the last man standing who performed below replacement level in 2010.
Of course, it will be difficult to predict just what happens to the talent in 2011, but it feels nice looking at this list. The hitter VORP of the Bucs was 77.7 which actually was not the worst in the NL Central. They finished ahead of the Astros paltry 61.4. The Astros made up the ground with better pitching VORP of 107.7 to the Pirates negative 50.1.
The Reds won the NL Central with a hitting VORP of 305.9 and a pitching VORP of 164.7.
At least on offense, it appears that those Pirates who performed poorly, paid the price. We could also add another positive number of 4.5 for Matt Diaz. The offense appears to be better, but of course the Bucs still have some work to improve their poor pitching results of 2010. Some serious work when you consider adding a combined negative 13.4 for the performances of Kevin Correia (-8.3) and Scott Olsen (-5.1) from 2010.
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