Pedro Alvarez vs NL Central pitchers

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Jun 9, 2014; Pittsburgh, PA, USA; Pittsburgh Pirates third baseman Pedro Alvarez (24) runs the bases to score a run against the Chicago Cubs during the second inning at PNC Park. Mandatory Credit: Charles LeClaire-USA TODAY Sports

Things get considerably tougher to analyze when we look at Pedro’s numbers against the Chicaco Cubs.

Name PA AB H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO BA OBP SLG OPS
Edwin Jackson 35 33 10 2 0 1 5 2 8 .303 .343 .455 .797
Jason Hammel 30 29 5 0 2 3 5 1 5 .172 .200 .621 .821
Travis Wood 21 21 1 1 0 0 0 0 8 .048 .048 .095 .143
Jake Arrieta 8 8 1 0 0 1 1 0 1 .125 .125 .500 .625
Pedro Strop 8 8 3 0 0 2 2 0 2 .375 .375 1.125 1.500
Hector Rondon 7 7 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 .286 .286 .286 .571
Jason Motte 4 4 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 .250 .250 .250 .500
Phil Coke 3 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 2 .333 .333 .333 .667
Justin Grimm 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 .000 .000 .000 .000
Total 118 115 24 3 2 7 13 3 29 .209 .229 .452 .681

The elephant in the room here is not even in the room at all.  Jon Lester, not pictures, has never faced Pedro Alvarez.  Until we see how Alvarez fares against the Cubs’ marquee pitcher, we can’t quite get a handle on what to expect.  Of course, that is even if he stays in against lefties at all (For the record, I think he should).   Looking at the rest of the Cubs’ pitching staff, it’s quite hit or miss, except mostly miss.  Aside from Edwin Jackson and Pedro Strop, Alvarez doesn’t fare too well against Cubs pitching.  Don’t get too excited about his numbers against Jackson, as Jackson is quickly falling out of favor at Wrigley, and may very well implode before he gets a chance to serve some more meatballs to Pedro.

The reverse of the Reds pitcher scenario is almost true here.  Pedro Strop is projected to be the Cubs’ setup man, getting to the ninth where Hector Rondon could be the closer.  Despite having only 15 ABs against the two pitchers, Pedro seems to hit them well.  Alas, small sample size rules the day again.  Don’t be surprised if Pedro struggles against the Cubs until he can figure out Lester and others not named Jackson.

Next: El Toro vs the dreaded RedBirds