Pittsburgh Pirates face Cardinals in crucial 3-game set

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Sep 22, 2014; Atlanta, GA, USA; Pittsburgh Pirates starting pitcher Francisco Liriano (47) pitches in the first inning against the Atlanta Braves at Turner Field. Mandatory Credit: Daniel Shirey-USA TODAY Sports

Liriano’s last start against the Dodgers was unique in many ways. Not only did Liriano do the unthinkable by hitting an (opposite field!) home run, but he gave fans quite the scare with mechanics that looked off from the jump and a visit to the mound from the training staff. As of now, everyone in the organization is pulling the company line and saying he is healthy. The Pittsburgh Pirates had better hope that is true, as the prospects of a rotation that is missing Liriano while also hurting elsewhere is as close to apocalyptic as you can get. Liriano’s 2015 has been the tale of the swing and the miss, as he is still among the league leaders in swinging-strike percentage. Any twinge or hitch to his mechanics could hinder this ability.

Here are Liriano’s numbers against current Cardinals:

Name PA AB H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO BA OBP SLG OPS
Jhonny Peralta 62 51 17 1 0 4 8 11 14 .333 .452 .588 1.040
Peter Bourjos 31 28 9 3 1 0 3 2 8 .321 .355 .500 .855
Matt Carpenter 31 26 4 2 0 0 1 4 11 .154 .290 .231 .521
Yadier Molina 25 25 4 1 0 1 1 0 4 .160 .160 .320 .480
Mark Reynolds 25 21 1 0 0 1 1 4 9 .048 .200 .190 .390
Kolten Wong 16 16 3 1 0 0 0 0 1 .188 .188 .250 .438
Pete Kozma 14 13 1 1 0 0 0 1 7 .077 .143 .154 .297
Jason Heyward 13 11 2 0 0 0 1 2 5 .182 .308 .182 .490
Tony Cruz 6 6 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 .167 .167 .500 .667
Randal Grichuk 3 3 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 .667 .667 .667 1.333
Total 234 205 44 9 2 6 15 26 62 .215 .305 .366 .671

Lance Lynn is a guy who has given the Pirates fits at times, but as the table below suggests, there are some opportunities. Neil Walker in particular hits Lynn very well with a .325/.404/.675 slashine. Starling Marte also does some damage with a 1.022 OPS. Much like the other matchups, the Pirates need to make Lynn work and try to elevate pitch counts. Lynn currently owns a 3.29 SO/W ratio against current Bucs.

Here is the complete look at Lynn’s career numbers vs current Pirates:

Name PA AB H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO BA OBP SLG OPS
Neil Walker 47 40 13 3 1 3 10 6 6 .325 .404 .675 1.079
Andrew McCutchen 44 44 7 3 0 0 1 0 17 .159 .159 .227 .386
Pedro Alvarez 43 37 9 3 0 2 10 5 10 .243 .326 .486 .812
Aramis Ramirez 31 29 3 0 0 0 1 2 4 .103 .161 .103 .265
Starling Marte 30 23 8 2 1 0 0 2 4 .348 .500 .522 1.022
Gerrit Cole 10 8 2 0 0 0 1 0 4 .250 .250 .250 .500
Gregory Polanco 9 7 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 .143 .333 .143 .476
Mike Morse 7 7 4 0 0 0 0 0 2 .571 .571 .571 1.143
Travis Ishikawa 6 6 2 1 0 0 0 0 1 .333 .333 .500 .833
Chris Stewart 5 5 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 .400 .400 .400 .800
Francisco Cervelli 3 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 2 .333 .333 .333 .667
Jung Ho Kang 2 2 1 0 0 0 1 0 1 .500 .500 .500 1.000
Total 242 216 53 12 2 5 24 17 56 .245 .313 .389 .701

Now that we’ve gone in depth with the pitching matchups, let’s wrap some final thoughts and make a prediction.

Next: Can the Pirates win this series?