Pittsburgh Pirates: ZIPS Recap for the 2017 Season
Editorial: FanGraphs released their 2017 Pittsburgh Pirates projections about a month ago. Here is a quick recap on them as Spring Training gets underway.
The ZIPS projections are pretty optimistic about Andrew McCutchen having a bounce back season in 2017. They have McCutchen projected to hit .276/.370/.844 and are projecting him to lead the team in WAR (4.1). I would definitely take those stats from Cutch next season.
Fan Graphs is also optimistic about Tyler Glasnow next season. His projections are a 3.60 ERA and a 3.83 FIP which would certainly be huge for this team. They also have him striking out 146 batters in 122 innings. One interesting thing from the projections are Glasnow pitching more innings than both Ivan Nova (119.7) and Jameson Taillon (112.3). I don’t see that happening next season but we’ll see.
They weren’t so optimistic about Gregory Polanco having a big year. They are projecting that Gregory hits .259/.322/.742, which would be pretty disappointing in my opinion. I’m expecting him to have a much better season than they’re projecting him to.
More from Rum Bunter
- Pittsburgh Pirates Prospect Stockwatch: Outfielder Tres Gonzalez
- Pittsburgh Pirates Podcast: Rum Bunter Radio Talks Winter Meetings Fallout
- Pittsburgh Pirates: Potential Leadoff Hitters in 2023
- Pittsburgh Pirates: The Rotation is not being Improved
- Pittsburgh Pirates Make Vince Velasquez Signing Official
On the prospect side of these projections they are saying Austin Meadows will be a productive player right away (.267/.316/.749, 2.0 zWAR) and Kevin Newman (.270/.320/.688, 1.7 zWAR) will be more productive than Jordy Mercer (.256/.314/.689, 1.4 zWAR).
Other Notable Projections
Starling Marte: .281/.336/.772. 3.8 zWAR
Jung Ho Kang: .259/.338/.810. 3.2 zWAR
Francisco Cervelli: .269/.362/.717. 2.0 zWAR
Josh Harrison: .286/.320/.730. 2.2 zWAR
Josh Bell: .270/.347/.773. 1.6 zWAR
David Freese: .270/.330/.725. 1.9 zWAR
John Jaso: .264/.350/.755. 0.7 zWAR
Adam Frazier: .266/.319/.665. 0.5 zWAR
Gerrit Cole: 3.45 ERA 3.38 FIP 3.1 zWAR
Jameson Taillon: 3.69 ERA 3.77 FIP 1.8 zWAR
Ivan Nova: 3.99 ERA 3.91 FIP 1.5 zWAR
Chad Kuhl: 4.51 ERA 4.56 FIP 0.8 zWAR
Drew Hutchison: 4.50 ERA 4.28 FIP 0.8 zWAR
Steven Brault: 4.18 ERA 4.26 FIP 1.4 zWAR
Tony Watson: 3.03 ERA 3.49 FIP 0.9 zWAR
Felipe Rivero: 3.39 ERA 3.17 FIP 0.6 zWAR
Juan Nicasio: 4.08 era 3.80 FIP 0.7 zWAR
Here at Rum Bunter, we have already broken down each player’s individual ZIPS projections over the last few weeks. This is simply to give a quick look at the expectations for the Pittsburgh Pirates players as Spring Training gets under way. Based on these projections the Bucs look to have another competitive team entering 2017.