Pittsburgh Pirates: Examining What They’re Getting in Colin Holderman
By Noah Wright
The Pittsburgh Pirates acquired rookie reliever Colin Holderman in the trade that sent Daniel Vogelbach to the Mets. So what does the right-hander bring to the Bucs?
The Pittsburgh Pirates made their first notable trade as we approach the August 2nd trade deadline. They swung a one-for-one swap with the New York Mets, sending designated hitter Daniel Vogelbach to Queens in exchange for rookie reliever Colin Holderman. The right-handed reliever will slot directly into the Pirate bullpen, but what is he bringing to the table?
It’s been a long journey for Holderman as he was a ninth-round pick by the Mets back in 2016. Holderman slowly but steadily made his way up the minor leagues and made his Triple-A debut this year. He pitched 14.1 innings but only allowed just four earned runs, struck out 30.4% of batters faced, allowed three to reach via the free pass, and had a ground ball rate well above 60%, clocking in at 63.6%.
Since making his major league debut on May 15th, Holderman has 17.2 innings under his belt, where he has put up a strong 2.04 ERA, 2.26 FIP, and 1.02 WHIP. He hasn’t allowed a home run yet while putting up a solid 45.2% ground ball rate. He’s held opponents to an 87.6 MPH exit velo and 35.7% hard-hit rate, both of which are average to above average. This helps his healthy ground ball rate play up. He has walked 10.4% of batters faced but has also struck out over a quarter of them (26.9%).
Holderman is getting a ton of swings and misses. His whiff and chase rate are above average. When they are chasing out of the zone, they’re making nearly 10% less contact than average. He could see an uptick in strikeout rate if these rates continue or improve.
Holderman’s arsenal consists of three pitches. He uses a sinker, cutter, and slider, with his sinker being his most used offering. Holderman has seen a significant uptick in velo, going from the low-to-mid-90s to upper-90s. That’s probably the kind of velocity you’d expect from a guy with a 6’7”, 240-pound frame, though.
Right now, he averages out at 95.7 MPH but can hit upwards of 97-98 MPH. On average, his sinker has 20.2 inches of drop and 14.7 inches of vertical break. His cutter is his second most used offering, which sits in the mid-to-upper-80s. He throws this pitch with 6.6 inches of horizontal movement and 30.7 inches of drop. Finally, there’s his slider that comes in just a tick below his cutter in terms of velo. This pitch has 37.6 inches of drop and 9.2 inches of vertical break.
As of now, all of Holderman’s pitches have a negative run value, coming in with -1 for his sinker, -2 for his cutter, and -1 for his slider. This means that all of his pitches have produced above-average results. He isn’t pitching well over his head, either. Holderman has held opponents to a .228 wOBA while their expected wOBA comes in at .266. Meanwhile, his DRA is 9% better than the league average, though most pitchers pitch well above their DRA.
FanGraphs ranked the right-handed reliever as the Mets’ 10th best prospect. In their write-up about Holderman, they describe him as a “third banana in a contending team’s bullpen.” Although the Mets’ system isn’t elite, they still have a solid farm. Acquiring their 10th best prospect is a solid get for the Pittsburgh Pirates.
Colin Holderman is 26-years-old and projects to be a long-term asset to the bullpen. He’ll likely slot in as a set-up man for David Bednar, alongside other arms like Wil Crowe, Duane Underwood Jr., and Yerry De Los Santos.