5 trade targets that would make Pittsburgh Pirates potential NL Central contenders

The Pittsburgh Pirates are in a position where they could make a splash at the trade deadline. They entered the break at .500, just 1.5 games out of a Wild Card spot, and for all intents and purposes should buy. By the end of this homestand, it’s entirely possible they will be in one of the playoff spots as they head towards the trade deadline and into August.

But the Pirates should aim higher than a Wild Card spot. They should aim for the division. The Milwaukee Brewers hardly hold a safe lead at this point, clinging to single digits. The Pirates gained three games against the Brewers from July 8 through July 14 alone. 

But in order to catch up to the Brewers and leap the St. Louis Cardinals, the Pirates need timely wins, and the best way to get timely wins is to win more often in general. The Pirates’ starting pitching staff has been great all year. Their infield and bullpen are starting to come together, but they could definitely use another bat and possibly another reliever.

These trade candidates might be able to push the Pirates over the top and help them gun for the National League Central Division title. While it would be unreasonable to expect the Pirates to get all five players mentioned here, even getting one or two could give the Bucs a huge boost heading into the second half of the year.

Taylor Ward

The Pirates need an outfielder, and one of the more underrated players on the market is Taylor Ward. The Los Angeles Angels outfielder is having a solid season, but still has a ton of untapped potential and could be a massive boost to any lineup, especially the Pirates’.

Ward has a .226/.312/.401 triple-slash on the year. He currently has a career-high 25.3% strikeout rate, but he’s still walking at a healthy 10.5% rate with an above-average .173 isolated slugging percentage. Overall, he’s been a league-average contributor, posting a .313 wOBA and 100 wRC+.

Over the last two seasons, Ward has been a solid defender. He has spent most of his time in left field with +4 defensive runs saved and +3 outs above average. Ward gets a good jump on the ball, with the 17th best feet vs average at 1.9. Ward has a strong arm that can play in the outfield corners. He is in the 68th percentile of arm strength. 

So Ward is a solid hitter with a good glove. He might be good, but how is he going to give this offense a huge boost? Well, Ward’s engine is more powerful than his car may look. Ward is in the 86th percentile of xwOBA at .356, as well as the 87th percentile of xSLG% at .486. There are 53 primary outfielders with at least 250 plate appearances in 2024. Ward has the second-largest gap between his SLG% and xSLG%, the largest gap between his wOBA and xwOBA, and the seventh-largest difference between his batting average and xBA (.246). 

Ward’s raw power is also top-of-the-line. He has the sixth-best barrel rate among outfielders with at least 250 plate appearances at 15%. That ranks in the 91st percentile of all hitters. Ward also has the 13th-best exit velocity among outfielders, clocking in at 91.3 MPH. Both are career bests for Ward.

The second reason to believe is Ward's history of productivity. From 2021 through 2023, Ward hit .265/.346/.449 with a .345 wOBA, and 121 wRC+. His isolated slugging percentage was .183 and he averaged 22 home runs every 600 plate appearances. Ward had both an above-average walk rate (9.8%) and strikeout rate (21.1%).

The third reason to believe is that the Pirates can offer Ward more lineup protection. There's no need to lie and act like the Pirates’ offense is the Murderers' Row Yankees. But they have a lot more potential than the Angels’ lineup, especially considering how much time Mike Trout has missed. Since the start of June, the Pirates, as a team, are batting .238/.300/.393 with a 93 wRC+. The Angels are batting .224/.303/.370 with an 87 wRC+. The Pirates have an 89.1 MPH exit velocity and 8.5% barrel rate. The Angels have just an 88.1 MPH exit velocity and a 7.2% barrel rate. 

Ward has mostly batted third this year, with Luis Rengifo batting second most often, and Willie Calhoun taking the most plate appearances in the cleanup spot. Miguel Sano has also seen a handful of plate appearances in the four hole. While Rengfio has done well and Calhoun has hit at an above-average level this year, Ward, batting between Bryan Reynolds and Oneil Cruz, has a lot more potential to do a whole lot more damage. 

Batting Ward between Reynolds and Cruz may also be enough to help him reach something closer to those expected numbers. Pitchers can’t pitch around Reynolds as often, because that would mean facing Ward. Pitchers would then have to bear down on Ward because they definitely wouldn’t want a man on base with Oneil Cruz at the dish.

Acquiring Ward would also get Jack Suwinski and Michael A. Taylor’s bats out of the lineup more frequently. They have arguably been the biggest black holes in the Pirates’ lineup this year, as they are the only ones with a sub-.600 OPS in at least 180 plate appearances. Putting a bat with Ward’s potential in the lineup would be a massive improvement.

Finally, Ward is under control for two more seasons through 2026. Bringing in Ward would give the Pirates an outfield option for the next two years. Given that the only guarantee to perform next year in the Pirates’ outfield is Bryan Reynolds, bringing in a guy like Ward could really solidify the lineup for a few seasons. 

With all that in mind, Ward could inject a huge boost to the Pirates’ offense. The potential is all there. A better lineup situation could help him play up and make him a better hitter. On top of that, he improves an outfield that has had its struggles this year, especially when it comes to hitting.

A.J. Puk

A.J. Puk was a former top prospect who had injuries that forced him to the bullpen. He produced some solid numbers in 2022 and 2023 for the Oakland Athletics and Miami Marlins, posting a 3.51 ERA, 3.64 FIP, and 1.16 WHIP. Puk struck out nearly 30% of opponents between these two years with a 29.4% K%, while also owning a quality 6.9% walk rate. Puk was home run prone, however, with a 1.24 HR/9 rate.

But the numbers this year haven’t been as pretty. Puk still has a solid 3.96 FIP, but his ERA is at 4.73. His strikeout rate has plummeted to just 21.5%, while his walk rate has rocketed up to 12.4%. He’s allowing fewer home runs with an 0.68 HR/9, but he sports a garish WHIP of 1.43, another massive step down compared to 2022-2023. 

Luckily, those numbers don’t tell the whole story. Puk started the year in the Marlins’ rotation, where he struggled mightily. He only made four starts, one of which was against the Pirates, and allowed 14 earned runs while walking (17) more batters than he struck out (12) in only 13.2 innings pitched. Puk was moved back to the bullpen at the end of April, and not only has he gotten things back on track, but he’s pitching even better than he did in 2022 and 2023.

Puk’s last 26.1 innings pitched have seen him produce a 2.39 ERA, 2.74 FIP, and 0.80 WHIP. The lefty has walked just 5% of opponents with a healthy 26% K%. With such a low walk rate, combined with an above-average strikeout rate, Puk has a K:BB ratio of 5.20. Puk has only allowed home runs at an 0.68 HR/9 rate. He’s been immune to both hard and quality contact as well. Puk has an exit velocity of just 87.5 MPH with a barrel rate of 2.9% as a reliever.

Puk has been one of the best lefty relievers this year. He ranks top ten in FIP (7th), K:BB ratio (5th), and walk rate (6th) among LHRP with at least 25 IP. Among lefty bullpen arms who have faced at least 75 batters out of the pen, Puk has the 4th lowest barrel rate. Puk has also been solid late into games with a 3.52 ERA and 3.42 FIP while holding opponents to a wOBA of just .265 in the 7th inning or later. His WPA (or win percentage added) as a reliever is +0.42.

The Pirates’ bullpen has been better recently. Since the start of June, they own a 4.15 ERA, 3.37 FIP, and 1.30 WHIP. Their 22.5% K% might not jump off the page, but their 7.7% walk rate is the 9th best in this stretch, with the second lowest home run rate at 0.66. However, this pen could still use some depth.

Puk can fill a higher-leverage role. The Pirates have only had one lefty all year who has been able to serve as a higher-leverage reliever, and that’s been Aroldis Chapman. Ryan Borucki could soon take some of the load off of Chapman, but having another pitcher who can take the mound in late/close games would be wise. Puk saved 15 games last year as well, so he has experience as a closer and could occasionally see some save opportunities when David Bednar isn’t available. 

Another positive is that Puk is controlled via arbitration through 2026. Both Chapman and Borucki hit free agency at the end of the year, so by acquiring Puk, the Pirates would guarantee themselves a quality lefty reliever in the event that one or both would leave in free agency. Puk has been a good left-handed bullpen arm for three years now, and he’s pitching even better this year than in his last two campaigns. 

Kyle Finnegan

Another National League East reliever the Pirates should have their eye on is Kyle Finnegan. The Washington Nationals’ closer could also be on the trading block after his set-up man, Hunter Harvey, was dealt to the Kansas City Royals. Finnegan would fill a similar role as AJ Puk, but as a right-hander.

Finnegan is having a career-best year on the bump. He has a 2.45 ERA, 3.98 FIP, and 1.02 WHIP through 40.1 innings of work. Both his 8.1% walk rate and 26.1% strikeout rate are career bests. However, home runs have consistently plagued him. He had a 1.29 HR/9 in 2021 through 2023 and this year is not much different. His HR/9 in ‘24 clocks in at 1.34.

Although Finnegan is prone to hard contact with a 90.6 MPH exit velocity, he has been good at limiting quality contact. His 6.6% barrel rate is in the top 67th percentile of pitchers this year. Finnegan has been good, but there are more positives aside from his performance that would greatly help out the Pirates’ bullpen.

Like Puk, he could serve as the Pirates’ closer when Bednar has the day off. Finnegan has saved 25 games so far this year, only three away from matching a career high. His WPA on the season is +1.60. He’s used to high leverage, and having him and Bednar taking up the closing duties would make the eighth and ninth innings a nightmare for opposing teams in close games.

Finnegan is older at 31, but he is only getting paid $5.1 million this year with one more year of arbitration left. That gives the Pirates a second season to bring him back. Again, the Pirates could potentially lose two key relievers in Ryan Borucki and Aroldis Chapman this offseason. This would be nice insurance.

Yandy Diaz

Yandy Diaz has been a well above-average contributor to the Tampa Bay Rays’ lineup for multiple seasons now. Last year, he had a career year, slashing .330/.410/.522 with a .402 wOBA and 164 wRC+. Diaz, who is known for his contact ability, only struck out 15.7% of the time. He hit for good power, though,going yard 22 times with an isolated slugging percentage just a touch under .200 at .192.

After winning the Silver Slugger, the expectations were set high for Diaz. However, he’s posting numbers more akin to what he had in 2019-2022. Diaz is hitting .273/.329/.396 with a .319 wOBA and 111 wRC+. For the first time since 2018, his walk rate is below 10% at 7.5%, but he still avoids striking out, posting a 14.7% K% throughout 416 plate appearances. Diaz isn’t hitting for much power and has just eight homers with a .123 isolated slugging percentage.

Now, like almost every batter in MLB this year, Diaz had a horrible start to the year. But as the weather has heated up, so has he. His last 280 plate appearances have yielded a much better-looking .302/.354/.453 triple-slash. He has hit seven of his eight homers in this stretch and has a .151 isolated slugging percentage. Diaz has still not walked often, with a 7.5% BB%, but his strikeout rate is even lower, clocking in at 13.9%.

Diaz’s lack of consistent power production hasn’t resulted from a lack of raw power. He is in the 93rd percentile of exit velocity at 92.5 MPH. That is the 19th-best mark in baseball this season. On the flip side, his struggles step from a lack of lifting the ball. Diaz’s launch angle this season is only four degrees, the first time it has ever dipped below five degrees unless you count the shortened 2020 season. This has resulted in a barrel rate of just 6.5%.

To Diaz’s credit, he has improved his barrel rate as the season has gone on. His barrel rate since the start of his return to form is 8.6%, which is above average. Over the last month, it’s been even better, clocking in at 9.9%. Last season, Diaz had a career year while posting a 9.5% barrel rate.

Diaz has experience at both corner infield positions, but is much better at first base than third base. Career-wise, he has only -1 DRS and -4 OAA at first base. However, at third base, he has -30 DRS and -17 OAA. He has not played the hot corner semi-regularly since the 2022 campaign and only logged 31 innings there in 2023.

If Diaz just lifted the ball slightly more, he’d be a constant 20+ homer threat. Regardless, Diaz still crushes the ball and gets a ton of hits. He’s done a lot better as of late. First base might not be an immediate need, but Diaz is a potential multi-year solution. He is controlled next year for only $10 million and has a $12 million team option in 2026. The Pirates could finally get a solid, regular first baseman for more than one season by trading for Diaz.