Brewers vs. Pirates prediction and odds for Sunday, July 2 (Trust Hill to lead Pittsburgh to win)

Our expert breakdown of how the Pirates are undervalued with Rich Hill on the mound.
Jun 27, 2023; Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, USA;  Pittsburgh Pirates starting pitcher Rich Hill (44 )
Jun 27, 2023; Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, USA; Pittsburgh Pirates starting pitcher Rich Hill (44 ) / Charles LeClaire-USA TODAY Sports

The Pirates continue to chase Sunday's opponent, the Brewers (and the Reds) at the top fo the National League Central as the two meet on Sunday afternoon.

Pittsburgh starts Rich Hill, the 43-year-old left hander, who has been a stalwart in the Pirates rotation this season, making 16 starts this season with mediocre results (4.45 ERA). He will face a Brewers lineup that is the worst in baseball at hitting southpaws, can that be enough for the Buccos to win on Sunday?

Here are the odds and our best bet:

Brewers vs. Pirates odds, run line and total

Brewers vs. Pirates prediction and pick

The Brewers have the worst batting average against left handed pitching this season, .215 on the year and won't be able to handle Hill's curveball. The 43-year-old has been a good form over the last month, fresh off five June starts in which he posted a 3.86 ERA while averaging more than six innings of work.

Milwaukee may be in the division lead, but this team is underwhelming across the board and ripe to be taken down on the road. The team starts Colin Rea, who has posted similar numbers as Hill of late, a 4.05 ERA over his last five starts. The Pirates are 22nd in batting average against right handed pitching at .232 on the year.

There's not much separating either team this season, both clubs are struggling at the plate and are counting on middling pitching to get the job done on Sunday. However, I can't justify the Brewers being road favorites against a team that's starting a lefty with the club's poor marks.

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.